The clouds of war on Indo-China bor
der in Galwan Valley in Eastern Ladakh have been cleared off now after visit of Prime Minister Narendra Modi had visited there as Chinese forces are said to have moved that from the occupied area in Galwan. But the dispute in Galwan Valley between the two neighbouring countries still remain unsolved.
The build up of tensions on Indo-China border in Galwan Valley following the clash between Indian and Chinese military personnels on 14-15 June 2020 has been gradually reaching at flash point after visit of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Leh where he addressing our Jawans posted there had warned China without spelling its name about teaching it a lesson in the wake of attack on India being made by China. People of India especially some of our Electronic Media consider this visit of PM Narendra Modi in Leh an indication of announcement of war with China. As far as Military preparedness in Ladakh is concerned, our government is not leaving any stone unturned in regard of retaliating any attack from China. All necessary steps in relation with war with China has been taken in which deployment of more than 30 thousand Jawans, Artillery Guns, Tanks and all kinds of fighter aircrafts are included. Besides guarding of our sky by fighter aircrafts is being made all the time, so that our army should be in responsive position there always. The Morale of our Jawans are very high because of the visit of PM Narendra Modi in Leh who has filled a fresh valour and encouragement in our Jawans when he had addressed them and had reminded them also that the would be war will be a war ‘Dharm & Adharm’ like be Mahabharat war. In this context the Prime Minister also reminded that we are worshipper of ‘Lord Shri Krishna’ who wielded ‘Sudarshan Chakra’ and hold ‘Flute’. However our 3 Defence forces; Army, Air force & Navy are fully prepared replying China in Tit-for-Tat way.
Since China does not like India to be emerged as a big military power in Asia except itself, keeping in view the fact that it has emerged as a big economic power in the world. According to a report the Growth Domestic Production (GDP) of China is 14 Trillion US Dollars and ranked as a second largest economic power of the world. The vastness of Chinese economy can be understood by this fact that China has given loan to 150 countries of the world, while China itself is loan free country. It has not taken any loan from any International monitory organization. It should be remembered here that China has given loans to many countries more in comparisons of loan given by ‘International Monetory Fund’ (IMF) and ‘World Bank’. Not only this China has invested money in very large amount in developed countries like America, Russia, Australia, countries relating european communities. In addition to it Chinese trade with the world countries are very beneficial for China as China exports its goods worth 2.49 Trillion US Dollars and imports goods worth 2.13 Trillion US Dollars. Thus the total international trade of China is worth 4.62 Trillion US Dollars. This is the latest data about the Chinese international trade. From this data we can compare the size of Indian economy easily while total international trade of China amount worth 4.62 Trillion US Dollars or 12.4 percent of global trade. On the other hand total Indian GDP is only 2.72 Trillion US Dollars and our latest total international trade is worth about 844 Billion US Dollars. As far as our trade with China is concerned India’s import from China is only 4 percent of total import of China. It means we are importing Chinese goods worth about 4 Lakh Crore US Dollars every year. The world's countries import from China is worth about 2.5 Crore Billion US Dollars. Considering these facts and data’s, we can come to this conclusion that size of Indian economy is far behind from the size of Chinese economy.
When tension between India and China on Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Eastern Ladakh in Galwan Valley had been flared up. Demonstration against China in various parts of the country had been organized as well as Chinese commodities had been burnt by the protestors. Then the issue of boycotting Chinese commodities in India in which many organizations relating to Business & Small trade communities had also supported the demand of boycotting Chinese products in India, expressing this view that the backbone of Chinese economy could be broken by boycotting of Chinese products in India as we could inflict harm China of 5 Lakh Crore US Dollars which counts total trade of India with China. Considering the above trade and Business data with China, a foolish, uneducated and an ignorant person can talk about harming Chinese economy by boycotting total Chinese products in India.
After 1962 China has made puzzling progress about which India cannot think about it. In the above paragraph, I have presented glimpse of economic progress of China which shows that Chinese economy is the second largest economy of the world after America and it is trying to surpass America by reaching on the top position of world economy. China has made manifold progress in Defence field too. Now the Defence budget of China is amounted to around 179 Billion US Dollars which is 3 times more of Indian Defence budget. India’s Defence budget for 2020 is amounted to 66.9 Billion US Dollars. Keeping this data’s in view, anyone can come to this conclusion that China has 3 times more Defence power than India. What kinds of weapons China has developed, world does not know in details about them? On the other hand India has unfolded its weapons of armory recently by demonstrating its weapons in Galwan Valley and it has been given clear signal to China that India has all latest weapons (Aircrafts , Artillery guns, Helicopters, Tanks etc.) for crushing Chinese attack on India. In Indian media also details of all kinds of weapons have been telecasted with the aim of frightening China. But it has not been known whether China has been afraid of the demonstration of our weapons or it has taken serious notice for befitting replies of our Indian weapons. Some of our Defence analyst and experts and retired high military officials have been presenting their views on TV channels that our weapons are far better than Chinese ones. So, India can inflict China harms unimaginable. Is it an only imagination for bolstering encouragement of our army Jawans as well as peoples of India? However it should be remembered that no country including India must not perceived its enemies like China less stronger than itself.
If a war with China is flared up this time, it will be totally different from the war of 1962 on different reasons. The first and the foremost reason will be the destructions of large scale faced by the both countries due to use of latest weapons of destruction in the war. This war will turn cities of both neighbouring countries into debries as these will be bombed with accurate target. This was will be fought with very advanced destructive weapons, so it will break backs of both neighbouring countries and will destroy economy of both countries resulting in both countries will suffer such an economic loss which can not be presume. But one thing can be said with certainty that it will shatter India’s dream to get it included among 5 top most economic power of the world. As far as Chinese military power is concerned, it has been developing its war of weapons, keeping in view the possibility of a war to be broken out with America. An another dangerous aspect of this war will be the possibility of joining hands by Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka with China. Pakistan is the country which has been continuously seeking opportunities to inflict India harms as much as it may be possible. In fact Pakistan wants to take revenge from India for East Pakistan being gotten separated from it in 1972. World knows it better that Pakistan is engaged in exporting terrorism in Kashmir with the aim of getting Kashmir separated from India. The defeated Pakistan by India in 3 war will join China certainly, if a war between India and China will start. Pakistan will use all its defence powers against India which will create very big problem for India compelling it to divert its focus on Indo-Pak border too because it will be golden chance for Pakistan for capturing territory of Kashmir. If Pakistan jumps into Indo-China war, it will try its best to capture other territories like Punjab and Rajasthan. Pakistan will attack on India at the time of Indo-China war because of its strong connection with China. To understand Pak-Chinese relation, the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) mutual project of China and Pakistan should be kept in view. China has expending 46 Billion US Dollars as this project will provide China surface way to reach Arabean Sea from where it will become able to reach world over countries easily by Sea. This will help China in expending its trade enormously. The CPEC project is related to the construction of a road from Kashgar of Xinjiang Chinese province to Gwader of Baluchistan province of Pakistan.
Like Pakistan other neighbouring countries such as Nepal, Bangladesh & Sri Lanka have also very close relations with China. Nepal is sitting in the lap of China now where Chinese influence can be seen easily. Meanwhile China has invested a very big amount in Nepal in many fields like Road Infrastructure, Railway projects, Hydel projects and Tourism and this trend is continued. In fact China is trying to invest much more capital in Nepal, so that it can influence Nepal as much as it may be possible. Bangladesh is the other country where China has been continuously investing very heavy amount in various projects including many bridges on different rivers in Bangladesh there. Constructions of Port, Constructions of skyscraper buildings, Cement production project etc. The total cost of these projects run near about 107.5 Billion US Dollars. In the same way Sri Lanka has been also getting benefits of Chinese investments. China has constructed a very important Port in Sri Lanka too which is the most busy Port (Hambantota) is controlled fully by China. In other fields Chinese investments in Sri Lanka are making it a developing Nation rapidly. China is the largest lender in Sri Lanka. Investment of China in Sri Lanka can be understood with details related to other Chinese projects being handled by China. China is engaged in building an another Port in capital city of Colombo, a Coal-fired power plant in the North-West of Sri Lanka.
Besides a skyscraper building which is tallest building in South Asia, a 1150-foot-high Lotus Tower, a Concert hall, a Hotel and a Business district apartment have being built by China in Colombo. These projects show the dependency of Sri Lanka on China. In such a situation Sri Lanka will turn into a colony of China soon which will compell Sri Lankan government to follow its terms.
Despite of talks of many round between high level military officials of India and China held no solution of the problems relating Indo-China border in Galwan Valley still has been come out as India claims that from Finger 1 to Finger 8 of Pangong Tso are its territory while China denies the claim of India and says that Line of Actual Control (LAC) is situated at Finger 2, so the rest finger areas are come under Chinese territory. This is the reason that when the China occupies the Finger 4, then tension between Indo-China begin. They are still possess the Finger 4 to Finger 8 area. It seems China does not want a war to be broken out as this point of time. But it does not mean that the danger of war between India and China has been disappear. As far as tension continues in Galwan Valley area, the possibility of war between the two neighbouring countries remains constantly. Which one of the two countries when starts this war it depends upon the situation?
Perhaps China does not want to begin a war with India now. It seems that it wants to strengthen more its ties with the above 4 neighbouring countries (Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bangladesh) of India in the hope of getting their full support in the wake of war being flared up with India in future.
- Rohit Sharma Vishwakarma
No comments:
Post a Comment